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Infection Estimates For Covid-19 Continue To Rise Across Uk - Is Anyone Listening - This Is Still Serious

10th July 2022

The percentage of people testing positive for coronavirus (COVID-19) continued to increase across the UK in the latest week, passing an estimated 2 million people in England who would have tested positive for the virus.

Estimates are for the week ending 29 June 2022 for England and Northern Ireland and week ending 30 June for Wales and Scotland.

The increases are likely to be caused by increases in infections compatible with Omicron variants BA.4 and BA.5.

The estimated number of people in the community population testing positive was:

2,154,000 (1 in 25 people) in England

149,700 (1 in 20 people) in Wales

98,400 (1 in 19 people) in Northern Ireland

312,800 (1 in 17 people) in Scotland

School pupils more likely to have a positive COVID-19 test in Spring 2022
8 July 2022
Both primary (aged 5 to 10) and secondary school pupils (aged 11 to 15) were more likely to have a positive PCR or reported lateral flow test in the Spring 2022 term than in the Autumn 2021 term. However, in primary aged pupils the increase was only seen in younger age groups.

In both terms, secondary age pupils were more likely to have a positive test than primary aged pupils. In the Autumn 2021 term, 14.2% of primary age pupils and 21.5% of secondary age pupils had positive tests. In Spring 2022, 16.1% of primary age pupils and 27.0% of secondary age pupils had positive tests. This contrasts with school staff, where secondary school staff were consistently less likely to have a positive test than primary school staff.

More primary than secondary school staff had COVID-19
8 July 2022
A higher percentage of primary school staff had positive coronavirus (COVID-19) tests than secondary school staff across both the autumn 2021 and spring 2022 terms.

Among classroom teachers, 19.8% in primary schools and 12.4% in secondary schools had a positive coronavirus test in spring 2022.

Head and deputy head teachers in secondary schools had the lowest percentages with a positive test in both autumn 2021 (8.4%) and spring 2022 (9%) compared with staff in other roles. Primary teaching assistants had the highest percentage of staff with a positive test in the spring 2022 term (22%).

When adjusting for other demographic and geographic variables, secondary school staff were 29% less likely to report a positive test than primary school staff in spring 2022.

The higher percentage with a positive test among primary staff compared with secondary staff contrasts with the data seen in pupils.

The proportion with a positive test among secondary staff was lower than that seen in secondary pupils (12.6% compared with 27.0% during the spring 2022 term).

COVID-19 vaccine uptake in school staff is higher than that seen in the wider adult population of the same age range; this applies to those who have received second or third doses of a vaccine.

Using NHS Test and Trace data to monitor coronavirus (COVID-19) infection relies on infections being diagnosed and recorded. Testing behaviour and changes to testing guidance over time will affect the data. These figures cannot be used to estimate the true proportion of school staff that have had an infection and may not be representative of true infection patterns between different demographics.

Around 2 million people in the UK experiencing long COVID
7 July 2022
Around 2 million people (3% of the UK population) in private households were experiencing self-reported long COVID as of 4 June 2022, according to data from the UK Coronavirus (COVID-19) Infection Survey.

Long COVID describes cases where symptoms continue beyond four weeks after the first suspected infection.

Of those that reported experiencing long COVID, 405,000 (21%) first suspected having COVID-19 less than 12 weeks ago. Around 1.4 million (74%) first suspected being infected over 12 weeks ago, and 807,000 people (41%) believe they were infected over one year ago.

Fatigue continued to be the most common symptom reported (56%), followed by shortness of breath (31%), loss of smell (22%), and muscle ache (21%).

Long COVID symptoms adversely affected the day-to-day activities of more than one in five people (72%) of those who reported that they had experienced symptoms.

Consumer location visits remain below pre-coronavirus pandemic levels
7 July 2022
Visits to workplaces, train stations and retail and recreation locations remained below pre-coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic levels in the week to 1 July 2022.

According to Google Mobility data, visits to transit stations were 21% below pre-coronavirus levels, workplace visits were 19% below their pre-coronavirus levels and visits to retail and recreation sites were 9% below their pre-coronavirus levels. Seasonal events such as the weather and holiday periods may affect changes in the data.

Consumer behaviour indicators showed increased activity this week, as UK seated diners increased by 12 percentage points, transit station visits rose by 5% from the previous week and transactions at the majority of Pret A Manger store locations also increased. These increases follow falls from the previous week, which coincided with rail industrial action in parts of Great Britain.

See the full report at https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19/latestinsights