Vacany Rates Are Falling And Rural Areas Are Hardest Hit

8th July 2026

Vacancies are falling across Scotland, but the Highlands are seeing a sharper and earlier decline because rural labour markets are thinner and more exposed to sectoral shocks.

Highlands vacancy trend is Down 8–12% over the past quarter.

Scotland overall: Down 5–7%

UK: Vacancies at a five‑year low (705,000)

This means fewer opportunities appearing, slower recruitment, and more competition for available roles.

Highland Vacancy Levels by Area
A quick snapshot of the current direction of travel:

Caithness & Sutherland: Noticeable drop in retail, hospitality, and admin roles

Inverness: Still the strongest labour market, but slowing in customer‑facing sectors

Moray: Declines in food production and tourism vacancies

Ross‑shire: Construction remains strong; everything else cooling

Skye & Lochalsh: Seasonal hiring weaker than normal for July

Sector Breakdown — Where Vacancies Are Falling Fastest
Falling sharply
Retail — fewer shop roles, reduced hours, consolidation

Hospitality — fewer summer vacancies than normal

Tourism — operators hiring cautiously due to cost pressures

Small business services — admin, bookkeeping, reception roles down

Care sector — still hiring, but fewer new posts than last year

Holding steady or rising
Construction — driven by major Highland projects

Energy & engineering — offshore wind, grid upgrades, port work

Transport & logistics — stable demand due to supply‑chain pressures

Health & public sector — vacancies remain high but recruitment slow

Major Projects Supporting Highland Vacancies
These projects are keeping construction and engineering recruitment above national averages:

HMP Highland (Inverness)

Nairn Academy rebuild

Kishorn Port expansion

Offshore wind servicing and transmission upgrades

Moray West and Beatrice wind farm support work

These projects create real, anchored jobs — not the speculative ones often counted by enterprise agencies.

Small Business Vacancy Pressure
(Highlands‑specific)
Small businesses (1–9 employees) dominate rural Scotland. Nationally, small‑firm vacancies fell by 19,000 — and the Highlands feel this more intensely because:

fewer employers means each closure matters

seasonal hiring is weaker

margins are thin

rising energy and fuel costs reduce hiring confidence

This is why vacancy declines feel more visible in Wick, Thurso, Golspie, and Lairg than in Glasgow or Edinburgh.

What This Means for Highland Households
Short term
fewer job options appearing week‑to‑week

more competition for available roles

slower recruitment processes

more part‑time and seasonal roles instead of full‑time posts

Medium term
risk of labour‑market stagnation in retail and hospitality

continued strength in construction and energy

pressure on young people seeking local employment

increased reliance on public‑sector jobs

Highland Labour Market Outlook (Next 3–6 Months)
Based on current trends:

Vacancies likely to continue falling in retail, hospitality, and tourism

Construction and energy will remain the strongest sources of new jobs

Public sector will continue to advertise, but recruitment will be slow

Seasonal work will be weaker than normal due to cost pressures on employers

Small business hiring will remain subdued

The Highlands will see a two‑speed labour market: strong in infrastructure and energy, weak everywhere else.