The State of Financial Services and the City of London

31st January 2026

For centuries, the City of London has been one of the world's most influential financial centres, acting as a bridge between global capital markets. In the years since Brexit. However, questions have persisted about whether the UK's financial services sector can maintain its global standing amid regulatory change, increased competition, and rapid technological transformation.

While Brexit has undeniably reshaped the operating environment, the City remains resilient, with fintech and digital banking playing an increasingly central role in its future.

Performance of the UK Financial Sector

Financial services remain a cornerstone of the UK economy. The sector contributes significantly to GDP, employment, and tax revenues, and the UK continues to run one of the largest trade surpluses in financial services globally. London remains a dominant centre for foreign exchange trading, international banking, asset management, and legal and professional services linked to finance.

That said, performance across the sector has been uneven. While wholesale and international-facing activities have largely held up, domestic retail banking and some specialist lenders have faced pressures from higher interest rates, regulatory costs, and increased competition.

Productivity growth in financial services has also been weaker than in previous decades, raising concerns about long-term competitiveness. Regulatory reforms since the global financial crisis, combined with post-Brexit rulemaking, have created a more cautious and complex environment, which some firms argue has dampened innovation and risk-taking.

Brexit and the City of London's Global Position

Brexit marked a fundamental shift for UK financial services, primarily through the loss of EU "passporting" rights. Before leaving the EU, UK-based financial firms could serve clients across the bloc from London. That automatic access has now ended, forcing many institutions to establish or expand subsidiaries in EU financial centres such as Dublin, Paris, Frankfurt, and Amsterdam.

Despite this, predictions of a dramatic decline in London's status have not materialised. While some trading activity and jobs have moved to the EU, London remains Europe's largest financial centre and one of the top two globally, alongside New York. Its strengths lie in scale, deep capital markets, a strong legal system, time-zone advantages, and a highly skilled international workforce. Crucially, the City has reinforced its global orientation, with growing financial links to the United States, Asia, and the Middle East helping to offset reduced EU market access.

However, the City’s dominance can no longer be taken for granted. Competition from emerging financial hubs and the fragmentation of European capital markets pose ongoing challenges. Maintaining global relevance will depend on regulatory agility, openness to talent, and continued innovation.

Access to EU Markets After Brexit

Access to EU financial markets has become more complex and fragmented. Instead of passporting, UK firms now rely on a mix of equivalence decisions, local EU authorisations, and cross-border exemptions. The EU has been cautious in granting equivalence, limiting the scope and certainty for UK-based firms.

Nevertheless, financial ties between the UK and EU remain deep. European companies still depend heavily on London for financing, risk management, and specialist expertise, particularly in areas such as derivatives clearing, foreign exchange, and international lending. While regulatory divergence may increase over time, economic interdependence ensures that the City of London continues to play a significant role in European finance, even if indirectly.

The Role of Fintech and Digital Banking

One of the most dynamic aspects of the UK financial services sector is fintech. The UK is widely recognised as Europe’s leading fintech hub and one of the largest globally. London, in particular, has become a centre for innovation in payments, digital banking, open banking, and financial data services.

Challenger banks and digital-first firms have reshaped consumer expectations by offering faster, cheaper, and more user-friendly services. At the same time, established financial institutions have increasingly adopted fintech solutions, investing in artificial intelligence, automation, and blockchain technologies to improve efficiency and customer experience.

Government and regulatory initiatives, such as regulatory sandboxes and open banking frameworks, have supported this growth by allowing innovation while managing risk. Fintech not only strengthens the UK’s financial ecosystem but also contributes to productivity, financial inclusion, and the country’s attractiveness to global investors and skilled workers.

The UK’s financial services sector, and the City of London in particular, stands at a crossroads. Brexit has altered the rules of the game, especially in relation to EU market access, but it has not diminished London’s core strengths as a global financial hub. The sector continues to generate substantial economic value and remains deeply embedded in global financial networks.

Looking ahead, the City’s future will depend on its ability to adapt: balancing robust regulation with competitiveness, embracing technological innovation, and maintaining openness to global talent and capital.

Fintech and digital banking offer a powerful growth engine, helping to modernise financial services and reinforce the UK’s position in an increasingly competitive global landscape. While challenges remain, the City of London is far from decline — instead, it is undergoing a period of transition that will shape its role in global finance for decades to come.

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